Chapter 26 References
Abu-Raddad, Laith J, Padmaja Patnaik, and James G Kublin. 2006. “Dual Infection with HIV and Malaria Fuels the Spread of Both Diseases in Sub-Saharan Africa.” Science (New York, N.Y.) 314 (5805): 1603–6. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1132338.
Altizer, Sonia, Andrew Dobson, Parviez Hosseini, Peter Hudson, Mercedes Pascual, and Pejman Rohani. 2006. “Seasonality and the Dynamics of Infectious Diseases.” Ecology Letters 9 (4): 467–84. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2005.00879.x.
Altizer, Sonia, Richard S Ostfeld, Pieter T J Johnson, Susan Kutz, and C Drew Harvell. 2013. “Climate Change and Infectious Diseases: From Evidence to a Predictive Framework.” Science (New York, N.Y.) 341 (6145): 514–19. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1239401.
Anderson, Roy M, and RM May. 1991. “Infectious Disease of Humans.” Dynamics and Control.
Bansal, Shweta, Bryan T. Grenfell, and Lauren Ancel Meyers. 2007. “When Individual Behaviour Matters: Homogeneous and Network Models in Epidemiology.” Journal of The Royal Society Interface 4 (16): 879–91. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2007.1100.
Bansal, Shweta, Jonathan Read, Babak Pourbohloul, and Lauren Ancel Meyers. 2010. “The Dynamic Nature of Contact Networks in Infectious Disease Epidemiology.” J Biol Dyn 4 (5): 478–89. https://doi.org/10.1080/17513758.2010.503376.
Bartlett, M. S. 1960. “The Critical Community Size for Measles in the United States.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General) 123 (1): 37. https://doi.org/10.2307/2343186.
Bartlett, Maurice S. 1957. “Measles Periodicity and Community Size.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General) 120 (1): 48–70.
Basu, Sanjay, and Jason Andrews. 2013. “Complexity in Mathematical Models of Public Health Policies: A Guide for Consumers of Models.” PLoS Medicine 10 (10): e1001540. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001540.
Baumgartner, Eduardo, Christine N. Dao, Sharifa Nasreen, Mejbah Uddin Bhuiyan, Syeda Mah-E-Muneer, Abdullah Al Mamun, M. A. Yushuf Sharker, et al. 2012. “Seasonality, Timing, and Climate Drivers of Influenza Activity Worldwide.” The Journal of Infectious Diseases 206 (6): 838–46. https://doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jis467.
Baym, M., L. K. Stone, and R. Kishony. 2016. “Multidrug Evolutionary Strategies to Reverse Antibiotic Resistance.” Science 351 (6268): aad3292–92. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aad3292.
Begon, M., M. Bennett, R. G. Bowers, N. P. French, S. M. Hazel, and J. Turner. 2002. “A Clarification of Transmission Terms in Host-Microparasite Models: Numbers, Densities and Areas.” Epidemiology and Infection 129 (1): 147–53.
Beldomenico, Pablo M, and Michael Begon. 2010. “Disease Spread, Susceptibility and Infection Intensity: Vicious Circles?” Trends in Ecology & Evolution 25 (1): 21–27. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2009.06.015.
Birger, Ruthie B, Roger D Kouyos, Ted Cohen, Emily C Griffiths, Silvie Huijben, Michael J Mina, Victoriya Volkova, Bryan Grenfell, and C Jessica E Metcalf. 2015. “The Potential Impact of Coinfection on Antimicrobial Chemotherapy and Drug Resistance.” Trends in Microbiology 23 (9): 537–44. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tim.2015.05.002.
Bjørnstad, Ottar N. 2018. Epidemics: Models and Data Using R. Use R! Springer International Publishing.
Black, Andrew J., and Alan J. McKane. 2012. “Stochastic Formulation of Ecological Models and Their Applications.” Trends in Ecology & Evolution 27 (6): 337–45. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2012.01.014.
Black, F L. 1966. “Measles Endemicity in Insular Populations: Critical Community Size and Its Evolutionary Implication.” Journal of Theoretical Biology 11 (2): 207–11.
Blower, Sally, and Daniel Bernoulli. 2004. “An Attempt at a New Analysis of the Mortality Caused by Smallpox and of the Advantages of Inoculation to Prevent It. 1766.” Reviews in Medical Virology 14 (5): 275–88.
Brankston, Gabrielle, Leah Gitterman, Zahir Hirji, Camille Lemieux, and Michael Gardam. 2007. “Transmission of Influenza A in Human Beings.” The Lancet Infectious Diseases 7 (4): 257–65.
Breiman, Leo, and others. 2001. “Statistical Modeling: The Two Cultures (with Comments and a Rejoinder by the Author).” Statistical Science 16 (3): 199–231.
Brett, Tobias S, John M Drake, and Pejman Rohani. 2017. “Anticipating the Emergence of Infectious Diseases.” Journal of The Royal Society Interface 14 (132): 20170115.
Britton, Tom. 2010. “Stochastic Epidemic Models: A Survey.” Mathematical Biosciences 225 (1): 24–35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2010.01.006.
Chen, Jennifer Y, Eoin R Feeney, and Raymond T Chung. 2014. “HCV and HIV Co-Infection: Mechanisms and Management.” Nature Reviews Gastroenterology & Hepatology 11 (6): 362–71.
Chubb, Mikayla C., and Kathryn H. Jacobsen. 2010. “Mathematical Modeling and the Epidemiological Research Process.” European Journal of Epidemiology 25 (1): 13–19. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10654-009-9397-9.
“Contagion.” 2011.
Cortez, Michael H., and Joshua S. Weitz. 2013. “Distinguishing Between Indirect and Direct Modes of Transmission Using Epidemiological Time Series.” The American Naturalist 181 (2): E43–52. https://doi.org/10.1086/668826.
Davis, Brian M, Allison E Aiello, Suzanne Dawid, Pejman Rohani, Sourya Shrestha, and Betsy Foxman. 2012. “Influenza and Community-Acquired Pneumonia Interactions: The Impact of Order and Time of Infection on Population Patterns.” American Journal of Epidemiology 175 (5): 363–67. https://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwr402.
Dibble, Christopher J, Eamon B O’Dea, Andrew W Park, and John M Drake. 2016. “Waiting Time to Infectious Disease Emergence.” Journal of The Royal Society Interface 13 (123): 20160540.
Diekmann, O., J A P. Heesterbeek, and M. G. Roberts. 2010. “The Construction of Next-Generation Matrices for Compartmental Epidemic Models.” Journal of The Royal Society Interface 7 (47): 873–85. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2009.0386.
Diekmann, Odo, and Johan Andre Peter Heesterbeek. 2000. Mathematical Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases: Model Building, Analysis and Interpretation. Vol. 5. John Wiley & Sons.
Dowell, S F. 2001. “Seasonal Variation in Host Susceptibility and Cycles of Certain Infectious Diseases.” Emerging Infectious Diseases 7 (3): 369–74. https://doi.org/10.3201/eid0703.010301.
Dushoff, Jonathan, Joshua B. Plotkin, Simon A. Levin, and David JD Earn. 2004. “Dynamical Resonance Can Account for Seasonality of Influenza Epidemics.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 101 (48): 16915–16.
Edmunds, W J, G Kafatos, J Wallinga, and J R Mossong. 2006. “Mixing Patterns and the Spread of Close-Contact Infectious Diseases.” Emerging Themes in Epidemiology 3 (August): 10. https://doi.org/10.1186/1742-7622-3-10.
Emch, Michael, Caryl Feldacker, M Sirajul Islam, and Mohammad Ali. 2008. “Seasonality of Cholera from 1974 to 2005: A Review of Global Patterns.” International Journal of Health Geographics 7 (1): 31. https://doi.org/10.1186/1476-072X-7-31.
Epstein, Joshua M. 2008. “Why Model?” Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 11 (4): 12.
Ewald, P W. 1987. “Transmission Modes and Evolution of the Parasitism-Mutualism Continuum.” Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 503: 295–306.
———. 1991. “Waterborne Transmission and the Evolution of Virulence Among Gastrointestinal Bacteria.” Epidemiology and Infection 106 (1): 83–119.
———. 1995. “The Evolution of Virulence: A Unifying Link Between Parasitology and Ecology.” The Journal of Parasitology 81 (5): 659–69.
Ferguson, Neil M., Isabel Rodríguez-Barraquer, Ilaria Dorigatti, Luis Mier-y-Teran-Romero, Daniel J. Laydon, and Derek AT Cummings. 2016. “Benefits and Risks of the Sanofi-Pasteur Dengue Vaccine: Modeling Optimal Deployment.” Science 353 (6303): 1033–36.
Ferrari, Matthew J., Sarah E. Perkins, Laura W. Pomeroy, and Ottar N. Bjørnstad. 2011. “Pathogens, Social Networks, and the Paradox of Transmission Scaling.” Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Infectious Diseases 2011: 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1155/2011/267049.
Fine, P. E. M. 2003. “The Interval Between Successive Cases of an Infectious Disease.” American Journal of Epidemiology 158 (11): 1039–47. https://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwg251.
Fine, Paul EM. 1993. “Herd Immunity: History, Theory, Practice.” Epidemiologic Reviews 15 (2): 265–302.
Fine, Paul, Ken Eames, and David L Heymann. 2011. “"Herd Immunity": A Rough Guide.” Clinical Infectious Diseases : An Official Publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America 52 (7): 911–16. https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/cir007.
Frank, S. A., and P. Schmid-Hempel. 2008. “Mechanisms of Pathogenesis and the Evolution of Parasite Virulence.” Journal of Evolutionary Biology 21 (2): 396–404. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1420-9101.2007.01480.x.
Frank, Steven A, and Robin M Bush. 2007. “Barriers to Antigenic Escape by Pathogens: Trade-Off Between Reproductive Rate and Antigenic Mutability.” BMC Evolutionary Biology 7 (November): 229. https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2148-7-229.
Galvani, Alison P., and Robert M. May. 2005. “Epidemiology: Dimensions of Superspreading.” Nature 438 (7066): 293–95. https://doi.org/10.1038/438293a.
Gandon, Sylvain, Troy Day, C. Jessica E. Metcalf, and Bryan T. Grenfell. 2016. “Forecasting Epidemiological and Evolutionary Dynamics of Infectious Diseases.” Trends in Ecology & Evolution 31 (10): 776–88. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2016.07.010.
Garnett, Geoffrey P., Simon Cousens, Timothy B. Hallett, Richard Steketee, and Neff Walker. 2011. “Mathematical Models in the Evaluation of Health Programmes.” The Lancet 378 (9790): 515–25.
Giesecke, Johan. 2017. Modern Infectious Disease Epidemiology. CRC Press.
Grassly, Nicholas C, and Christophe Fraser. 2006. “Seasonal Infectious Disease Epidemiology.” Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B: Biological Sciences 273 (1600): 2541–50.
Griffiths, Emily C, Amy B Pedersen, Andy Fenton, and Owen L Petchey. 2011. “The Nature and Consequences of Coinfection in Humans.” Journal of Infection 63 (3): 200–206.
Gunawardena, Jeremy. 2014. “Models in Biology:‘Accurate Descriptions of Our Pathetic Thinking’.” BMC Biology 12 (1): 29.
Halloran, M. E., and I. M. Longini. 2014. “Emerging, Evolving, and Established Infectious Diseases and Interventions.” Science 345 (6202): 1292–94. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1254166.
Handel, Andreas. 2017. “Learning Infectious Disease Epidemiology in a Modern Framework.” PLoS Computational Biology 13 (10): e1005642.
Heesterbeek, H., R. M. Anderson, V. Andreasen, S. Bansal, D. De Angelis, C. Dye, K. T. D. Eames, et al. 2015. “Modeling Infectious Disease Dynamics in the Complex Landscape of Global Health.” Science 347 (6227): aaa4339–39. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaa4339.
Heffernan, J M, R J Smith, and L M Wahl. 2005. “Perspectives on the Basic Reproductive Ratio.” Journal of the Royal Society, Interface 2 (4): 281–93. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2005.0042.
Homer, Jack B., and Gary B. Hirsch. 2006. “System Dynamics Modeling for Public Health: Background and Opportunities.” American Journal of Public Health 96 (3): 452–58.
Immunization, National Center for, and Respiratory Diseases. 2019. Measles, Mumps, and Rubella Vaccination: What Everyone Should Know. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Kajita, Emily, Justin T Okano, Erin N Bodine, Scott P Layne, and Sally Blower. 2007. “Modelling an Outbreak of an Emerging Pathogen.” Nature Reviews. Microbiology 5 (9): 700–709. https://doi.org/10.1038/nrmicro1660.
Karp, Christopher L, and Paul G Auwaerter. 2007a. “Coinfection with HIV and Tropical Infectious Diseases. I. Protozoal Pathogens.” Clinical Infectious Diseases : An Official Publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America 45 (9): 1208–13. https://doi.org/10.1086/522181.
———. 2007b. “Coinfection with HIV and Tropical Infectious Diseases. II. Helminthic, Fungal, Bacterial, and Viral Pathogens.” Clinical Infectious Diseases : An Official Publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America 45 (9): 1214–20. https://doi.org/10.1086/522180.
Keeling, M. J. 1997. “Disease Extinction and Community Size: Modeling the Persistence of Measles.” Science 275 (5296): 65–67. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.275.5296.65.
Keeling, M J. 1997. “Modelling the Persistence of Measles.” Trends in Microbiology 5 (12): 513–18. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0966-842X(97)01147-5.
Keeling, M. J., and L. Danon. 2009. “Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases.” British Medical Bulletin 92 (1): 33–42. https://doi.org/10.1093/bmb/ldp038.
Keeling, Matt J., and Ken T D. Eames. 2005. “Networks and Epidemic Models.” Journal of The Royal Society Interface 2 (4): 295–307. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2005.0051.
Keeling, Matt J, and Bryan T Grenfell. 2002. “Understanding the Persistence of Measles: Reconciling Theory, Simulation and Observation.” Proceedings. Biological Sciences / The Royal Society 269 (1489): 335–43.
Keeling, Matt J, and Pejman Rohani. 2008. Modeling Infectious Diseases in Humans and Animals. Princeton University Press.
Kilpatrick, A Marm, and Sarah E Randolph. 2012. “Drivers, Dynamics, and Control of Emerging Vector-Borne Zoonotic Diseases.” Lancet (London, England) 380 (9857): 1946–55. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(12)61151-9.
Kim, Arthur Y, and Raymond T Chung. 2009. “Coinfection with HIV-1 and HCVa One-Two Punch.” Gastroenterology 137 (3): 795–814.
King, Aaron A., Edward L. Ionides, Mercedes Pascual, and Menno J. Bouma. 2008. “Inapparent Infections and Cholera Dynamics.” Nature 454 (7206): 877–80. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature07084.
Klepac, Petra, C Jessica E Metcalf, Angela R McLean, and Katie Hampson. 2013. “Towards the Endgame and Beyond: Complexities and Challenges for the Elimination of Infectious Diseases.” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences 368 (1623): 20120137. https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2012.0137.
Lange, Alexander, and Neil M Ferguson. 2009. “Antigenic Diversity, Transmission Mechanisms, and the Evolution of Pathogens.” PLoS Computational Biology 5 (10): e1000536. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1000536.
Lessler, Justin, Andrew S. Azman, M. Kate Grabowski, Henrik Salje, and Isabel Rodriguez-Barraquer. 2016. “Trends in the Mechanistic and Dynamic Modeling of Infectious Diseases.” Current Epidemiology Reports 3 (3): 212–22. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40471-016-0078-4.
Levin, B R. 1996. “The Evolution and Maintenance of Virulence in Microparasites.” Emerging Infectious Diseases 2 (2): 93–102.
Levy, Stuart B, and Bonnie Marshall. 2004. “Antibacterial Resistance Worldwide: Causes, Challenges and Responses.” Nature Medicine 10 (12s): S122–29. https://doi.org/10.1038/nm1145.
Li, Jing, Daniel Blakeley, and Robert J. Smith. 2011. “The Failure of R 0.” Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine 2011: 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1155/2011/527610.
Li, Xin-Xu, and Xiao-Nong Zhou. 2013. “Co-Infection of Tuberculosis and Parasitic Diseases in Humans: A Systematic Review.” Parasites & Vectors 6 (March): 79. https://doi.org/10.1186/1756-3305-6-79.
Lipsitch, Marc, and Cécile Viboud. 2009. “Influenza Seasonality: Lifting the Fog.” Proceedings of The National Academy Of Sciences Of The United States Of America 106 (10): 3645–46. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0900933106.
Lloyd-Smith, J. O., S. J. Schreiber, P. E. Kopp, and W. M. Getz. 2005. “Superspreading and the Effect of Individual Variation on Disease Emergence.” Nature 438 (7066): 355–59. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature04153.
Lloyd-Smith, James O, Paul C Cross, Cheryl J Briggs, Matt Daugherty, Wayne M Getz, John Latto, Maria S Sanchez, Adam B Smith, and Andrea Swei. 2005. “Should We Expect Population Thresholds for Wildlife Disease?” Trends in Ecology & Evolution 20 (9): 511–19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2005.07.004.
Lofgren, E., N. H. Fefferman, Y. N. Naumov, J. Gorski, and E. N. Naumova. 2007. “Influenza Seasonality: Underlying Causes and Modeling Theories.” Journal of Virology 81 (11): 5429–36. https://doi.org/10.1128/JVI.01680-06.
Louz, Derrick, Hans E. Bergmans, Birgit P. Loos, and Rob C. Hoeben. 2010. “Emergence of Viral Diseases: Mathematical Modeling as a Tool for Infection Control, Policy and Decision Making.” Critical Reviews in Microbiology 36 (3): 195–211. https://doi.org/10.3109/10408411003604619.
Luke, Douglas A, and Katherine A Stamatakis. 2012. “Systems Science Methods in Public Health: Dynamics, Networks, and Agents.” Annual Review of Public Health 33: 357–76.
Luz, Paula M, Claudio J Struchiner, and Alison P Galvani. 2010. “Modeling Transmission Dynamics and Control of Vector-Borne Neglected Tropical Diseases.” PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases 4 (10): e761. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0000761.
Ma, Junling, and David JD Earn. 2006. “Generality of the Final Size Formula for an Epidemic of a Newly Invading Infectious Disease.” Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 68 (3): 679–702.
Matthews, Louise, and Mark Woolhouse. 2005. “New Approaches to Quantifying the Spread of Infection.” Nature Reviews. Microbiology 3 (7): 529–36. https://doi.org/10.1038/nrmicro1178.
May, R. M. 2004. “Uses and Abuses of Mathematics in Biology.” Science 303 (5659): 790–93. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1094442.
May, Robert M, Sunetra Gupta, and Angela R McLean. 2001. “Infectious Disease Dynamics: What Characterizes a Successful Invader?” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London B: Biological Sciences 356 (1410): 901–10.
McCallum, H., N. Barlow, and J. Hone. 2001. “How Should Pathogen Transmission Be Modelled?” Trends in Ecology & Evolution 16 (6): 295–300.
McCallum, Hamish, Andy Fenton, Peter J Hudson, Brian Lee, Beth Levick, Rachel Norman, Sarah E Perkins, Mark Viney, Anthony J Wilson, and Joanne Lello. 2017. “Breaking Beta: Deconstructing the Parasite Transmission Function.” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences 372 (1719). https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2016.0084.
McCullers, Jonathan A. 2006. “Insights into the Interaction Between Influenza Virus and Pneumococcus.” Clinical Microbiology Reviews 19 (3): 571–82. https://doi.org/10.1128/CMR.00058-05.
Merrill, Ray M. 2013. Introduction to Epidemiology. 6th ed. Burlington, MA: Jones & Bartlett Learning.
Metcalf, C J E, W J Edmunds, and J Lessler. 2015. “Six Challenges in Modelling for Public Health Policy.” Epidemics 10 (March): 93–96. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2014.08.008.
Metcalf, C Jessica E, and Justin Lessler. 2017. “Opportunities and Challenges in Modeling Emerging Infectious Diseases.” Science (New York, N.Y.) 357 (6347): 149–52. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aam8335.
Milwid, Rachael, Andreea Steriu, Julien Arino, Jane Heffernan, Ayaz Hyder, Dena Schanzer, Emma Gardner, et al. 2016. “Toward Standardizing a Lexicon of Infectious Disease Modeling Terms.” Frontiers in Public Health 4: 213. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2016.00213.
Mina, Michael J, C Jessica E Metcalf, Rik L de Swart, A D M E Osterhaus, and Bryan T Grenfell. 2015. “Long-Term Measles-Induced Immunomodulation Increases Overall Childhood Infectious Disease Mortality.” Science (New York, N.Y.) 348 (6235): 694–99. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaa3662.
Mossong, Joël, Niel Hens, Mark Jit, Philippe Beutels, Kari Auranen, Rafael Mikolajczyk, Marco Massari, et al. 2008. “Social Contacts and Mixing Patterns Relevant to the Spread of Infectious Diseases.” PLoS Medicine 5 (3): e74.
Nelson, Kenrad E, and Carolyn Williams. 2013. Infectious Disease Epidemiology. Jones & Bartlett Publishers.
Ness, Roberta B., James S. Koopman, and Mark S. Roberts. 2007. “Causal System Modeling in Chronic Disease Epidemiology: A Proposal.” Annals of Epidemiology 17 (7): 564–68. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.annepidem.2006.10.014.
Newman, M. E. J. 2013. Networks - An Introduction. Reprint. with corr. Oxford [u.a.]: Oxford Univ. Press.
Page, Randy M, Galen E Cole, and Thomas C Timmreck. 1995. Basic Epidemiologicqal Methods and Biostatistics. Boston, MA: Jones & Bartlett Learning.
Pascual, Mercedes, Menno J. Bouma, and Andrew P. Dobson. 2002. “Cholera and Climate: Revisiting the Quantitative Evidence.” Microbes and Infection 4 (2): 237–45.
Pastor-Satorras, Romualdo, Claudio Castellano, Piet Van Mieghem, and Alessandro Vespignani. 2015. “Epidemic Processes in Complex Networks.” Reviews of Modern Physics 87 (3): 925–79. https://doi.org/10.1103/RevModPhys.87.925.
Paull, Sara H, Sejin Song, Katherine M McClure, Loren C Sackett, A Marm Kilpatrick, and Pieter TJ Johnson. 2012. “From Superspreaders to Disease Hotspots: Linking Transmission Across Hosts and Space.” Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 10 (2): 75–82.
Pawlowski, Andrzej, Marianne Jansson, Markus Sköld, Martin E Rottenberg, and Gunilla Källenius. 2012. “Tuberculosis and HIV Co-Infection.” PLoS Pathogens 8 (2): e1002464. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.ppat.1002464.
Peel, A J, J R C Pulliam, A D Luis, R K Plowright, T J O’Shea, D T S Hayman, J L N Wood, C T Webb, and O Restif. 2014. “The Effect of Seasonal Birth Pulses on Pathogen Persistence in Wild Mammal Populations.” Proceedings. Biological Sciences 281 (1786). https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2013.2962.
Pellis, Lorenzo, Frank Ball, Shweta Bansal, Ken Eames, Thomas House, Valerie Isham, and Pieter Trapman. 2015. “Eight Challenges for Network Epidemic Models.” Epidemics 10 (March): 58–62. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2014.07.003.
Peters, David H. 2014. “The Application of Systems Thinking in Health: Why Use Systems Thinking?” Health Research Policy and Systems 12 (1): 51.
Petney, Trevor N, and Ross H Andrews. 1998. “Multiparasite Communities in Animals and Humans: Frequency, Structure and Pathogenic Significance.” International Journal for Parasitology 28 (3): 377–93.
Pittman, Kelly J., Luke C. Glover, Liuyang Wang, and Dennis C. Ko. 2016. “The Legacy of Past Pandemics: Common Human Mutations That Protect Against Infectious Disease.” Edited by William E. Goldman. PLOS Pathogens 12 (7): e1005680. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.ppat.1005680.
Potterat, John J., Helen Zimmerman-Rogers, Stephen Q. Muth, Richard B. Rothenberg, David L. Green, Jerry E. Taylor, Mandy S. Bonney, and Helen A. White. 1999. “Chlamydia Transmission: Concurrency, Reproduction Number, and the Epidemic Trajectory.” American Journal of Epidemiology 150 (12): 1331–39.
Railsback, Steven F, and Volker Grimm. 2011. Agent-Based and Individual-Based Modeling: A Practical Introduction. Princeton university press.
Roberts, M G. 2007. “The Pluses and Minuses of R0.” Journal of the Royal Society, Interface 4 (16): 949–61. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2007.1031.
Rohani, P, CJ Green, NB Mantilla-Beniers, and BT Grenfell. 2003. “Ecological Interference Between Fatal Diseases.” Nature 422 (6934): 885.
Salathé, Marcel, and James H. Jones. 2010. “Dynamics and Control of Diseases in Networks with Community Structure.” PLoS Computational Biology 6 (4): e1000736.
Sánchez-Romero, Luz Maria, Joanne Penko, Pamela G. Coxson, Alicia Fernández, Antoinette Mason, Andrew E. Moran, Leticia Ávila-Burgos, Michelle Odden, Simón Barquera, and Kirsten Bibbins-Domingo. 2016. “Projected Impact of Mexico’s Sugar-Sweetened Beverage Tax Policy on Diabetes and Cardiovascular Disease: A Modeling Study.” PLoS Medicine 13 (11): e1002158.
Shaman, Jeffrey, Virginia E. Pitzer, Cécile Viboud, Bryan T. Grenfell, and Marc Lipsitch. 2010. “Absolute Humidity and the Seasonal Onset of Influenza in the Continental United States.” PLoS Biology 8 (2): e1000316. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.1000316.
Shmueli, Galit. 2010. “To Explain or to Predict?” Statistical Science, 289–310.
Shrestha, Sourya, Betsy Foxman, Suzanne Dawid, Allison E Aiello, Brian M Davis, Joshua Berus, and Pejman Rohani. 2013. “Time and Dose-Dependent Risk of Pneumococcal Pneumonia Following Influenza: A Model for Within-Host Interaction Between Influenza and Streptococcus Pneumoniae.” Journal of the Royal Society, Interface 10 (86): 20130233. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2013.0233.
Smith, Amber M, and Jonathan A McCullers. 2014. “Secondary Bacterial Infections in Influenza Virus Infection Pathogenesis.” Current Topics in Microbiology and Immunology 385: 327–56. https://doi.org/10.1007/82_2014_394.
Smith, David L, Katherine E Battle, Simon I Hay, Christopher M Barker, Thomas W Scott, and F Ellis McKenzie. 2012. “Ross, Macdonald, and a Theory for the Dynamics and Control of Mosquito-Transmitted Pathogens.” PLoS Pathog 8 (4): e1002588.
Smith, David L, T Alex Perkins, Robert C Reiner, Christopher M Barker, Tianchan Niu, Luis Fernando Chaves, Alicia M Ellis, et al. 2014. “Recasting the Theory of Mosquito-Borne Pathogen Transmission Dynamics and Control.” Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 108 (4): 185–97. https://doi.org/10.1093/trstmh/tru026.
Stedman’s Medical Dictionary for the Health Professions and Nursing. 2005. 5th ed. Baltimore, MD: Lippincott Williams & Wilkins.
Stein, Richard A. 2011. “Super-Spreaders in Infectious Diseases.” International Journal of Infectious Diseases : IJID : Official Publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases 15 (8): e510–13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2010.06.020.
Sterman, John D. 2006. “Learning from Evidence in a Complex World.” American Journal of Public Health 96 (3): 505–14.
Stone, Lewi, Ronen Olinky, and Amit Huppert. 2007. “Seasonal Dynamics of Recurrent Epidemics.” Nature 446 (7135): 533–36. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature05638.
Stoner-Duncan, Benjamin, Daniel G Streicker, and Christopher M Tedeschi. 2014. “Vampire Bats and Rabies: Toward an Ecological Solution to a Public Health Problem.” PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases 8 (6): e2867. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0002867.
Strogatz, S H. 2001. “Exploring Complex Networks.” Nature 410 (6825): 268–76. https://doi.org/10.1038/35065725.
Sulkowski, Mark S. 2008. “Viral Hepatitis and HIV Coinfection.” Journal of Hepatology 48 (2): 353–67.
Temime, L., G. Hejblum, M. Setbon, and A. J. Valleron. 2008. “The Rising Impact of Mathematical Modelling in Epidemiology: Antibiotic Resistance Research as a Case Study.” Epidemiology and Infection 136 (03). https://doi.org/10.1017/S0950268807009442.
Viboud, Cécile, Theresa Tam, Douglas Fleming, Andreas Handel, Mark A. Miller, and Lone Simonsen. 2006. “Transmissibility and Mortality Impact of Epidemic and Pandemic Influenza, with Emphasis on the Unusually Deadly 1951 Epidemic.” Vaccine 24 (44-46): 6701–7. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2006.05.067.
Vynnycky, Emilia, and Richard White. 2010. An Introduction to Infectious Disease Modelling. Oxford University Press.
Wallinga, J., and M. Lipsitch. 2007. “How Generation Intervals Shape the Relationship Between Growth Rates and Reproductive Numbers.” Proceedings of the Royal Society B 274 (1609): 599–604.
Weber, Thomas P, and Nikolaos I Stilianakis. 2008. “Inactivation of Influenza A Viruses in the Environment and Modes of Transmission: A Critical Review.” The Journal of Infection 57 (5): 361–73. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinf.2008.08.013.
Wilson, Anthony James, Eric René Morgan, Mark Booth, Rachel Norman, Sarah Elizabeth Perkins, Heidi Christine Hauffe, Nicole Mideo, Janis Antonovics, Hamish McCallum, and Andy Fenton. 2017. “What Is a Vector?” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 372 (1719): 20160085.
Woolhouse, M E, C Dye, J F Etard, T Smith, J D Charlwood, G P Garnett, P Hagan, et al. 1997. “Heterogeneities in the Transmission of Infectious Agents: Implications for the Design of Control Programs.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 94 (1): 338–42.
Woolhouse, Mark E. J. 2002. “Population Biology of Emerging and Re-Emerging Pathogens.” Trends in Microbiology 10 (10): S3–7.
Yorke, J. A., H. W. Hethcote, and A. Nold. 1978. “Dynamics and Control of the Transmission of Gonorrhea.” Sexually Transmitted Diseases 5 (2): 51–56.
zur Wiesch, Pia Abel, Roger Kouyos, Jan Engelstädter, Roland R Regoes, and Sebastian Bonhoeffer. 2011. “Population Biological Principles of Drug-Resistance Evolution in Infectious Diseases.” The Lancet. Infectious Diseases 11 (3): 236–47. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(10)70264-4.